Set market cap
100 cards tracked dailyWhat to target in Ancient Origins
The top 10 cards are 83% of the set’s $3,258.00 estimated singles cost — plan these first and the rest follows on a normal budget.
| # | Card | Number | Rarity | Market | PSA 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  M Rayquaza-EX | #98 | Rare Secret | $1,069.91 | $12,000.00 |
| 2 |  Primal Kyogre-EX | #96 | Rare Secret | $454.62 | $4,550.00 |
| 3 |  Primal Groudon-EX | #97 | Rare Secret | $325.32 | $4,100.00 |
| 4 |  Lugia-EX | #94 | Rare Ultra | $211.85 | $4,349.50 |
| 5 |  Giratina-EX | #93 | Rare Ultra | $146.81 | $1,927.00 |
| 6 |  M Sceptile-EX | #85 | Rare Ultra | $120.02 | $1,400.00 |
| 7 |  M Tyranitar-EX | #92 | Rare Ultra | $115.78 | $1,000.00 |
| 8 |  Tyranitar-EX | #91 | Rare Ultra | $105.36 | $1,662.50 |
| 9 |  M Ampharos-EX | #88 | Rare Ultra | $78.13 | $801.66 |
| 10 |  Gyarados | #21 | Rare Holo | $65.01 | $2,775.00 |
How Ancient Origins is built
Rarity breakdown
Price distribution
Most cards are bulk — the set’s value concentrates in a few chase cards.
Singles or sealed?
Sealed product comparison
Ancient Origins pull-rate estimates
Community-estimated era averages from large pack-opening aggregates — not official Pokémon data. “Specific card” is the expected packs for ONE particular card of that rarity.
| Rarity | Cards in set | Any pull | Specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare Holo EX | 11 | 1 in 9 | 1 in 99 |
| Rare Ultra | 12 | 1 in 18 | 1 in 216 |
| Rare Secret | 5 | 1 in 130 | 1 in 650 |
Ancient Origins promo cards
Black Star promos tied to Ancient Origins — from its ETBs, collection boxes and prerelease events. They live in the XY Black Star Promos set, so a true master-set run includes them separately.
Which Ancient Origins cards are worth grading?
Positive expected value after ~$25 fees at live PSA prices and this set's real gem rates.
M Rayquaza-EX #98raw $1,069.91 → PSA 10 $12,000.00 11.2×EV +$2,443.44Primal Kyogre-EX #96raw $454.62 → PSA 10 $4,550.00 10×EV +$817.47Primal Groudon-EX #97raw $325.32 → PSA 10 $4,100.00 12.6×EV +$1,226.30Lugia-EX #94raw $211.85 → PSA 10 $4,349.50 20.5×EV +$1,033.31Giratina-EX #93raw $146.81 → PSA 10 $1,927.00 13.1×EV +$532.86M Sceptile-EX #85raw $120.02 → PSA 10 $1,400.00 11.7×EV +$312.15Strong PSA 10 premium — the math works only on gem-worthy copies.
Fees eat most of the margin. Grade to preserve a pristine pull, not for profit.
Premiums and EV use tonight’s PSA prices and this set’s real gem rates — not projections.
Protect your Ancient Origins cards
This set has 8 cards worth $100+ — sleeve-and-toploader territory at minimum, and the chase cards deserve double-sleeving.
Every card worth more than bulk goes in a sleeve before anything else touches it.
Amazon →eBay →The archival-safe standard for cards you handle — double-sleeve chase cards with a perfect-fit inner.
Amazon →eBay →Affiliate links — purchases support CardPrice at no extra cost. Full guide: how to build & store a master set.
Sealed products
![Ancient Origins 3 Pack Blister [Salamence]](https://api.cardprice.com/images/products/100494.jpg?v=3)
![Ancient Origins 3 Pack Blister [Malamar]](https://api.cardprice.com/images/products/100493.jpg?v=3)
![Powers Beyond Tin [Rayquaza EX]](https://api.cardprice.com/images/products/106212.jpg?v=3)
![Ancient Origins Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]](https://api.cardprice.com/images/products/276595.jpg?v=3)
![Powers Beyond Tin [Latios EX]](https://api.cardprice.com/images/products/106211.jpg?v=3)
![Powers Beyond Tin [Hoopa EX]](https://api.cardprice.com/images/products/106213.jpg?v=3)
![Ancient Origins Single Pack Blister [Blissey]](https://api.cardprice.com/images/products/106214.jpg?v=3)
All cards 101
Most valuable cards in Ancient Origins
- M Rayquaza-EX #98 — $1,069.91
- Primal Kyogre-EX #96 — $454.62
- Primal Groudon-EX #97 — $325.32
- Lugia-EX #94 — $211.85
- Giratina-EX #93 — $146.81
- M Sceptile-EX #85 — $120.02
- Hex Maniac #75A — $118.33
- M Tyranitar-EX #92 — $115.78
- Tyranitar-EX #91 — $105.36
- M Ampharos-EX #88 — $78.13
About Ancient Origins
Ancient Origins is a Pokémon TCG expansion in the XY series, released on 2015-08-12. The set contains 101 cards — 98 in the base set plus 2 secret rares. The combined market value of a complete set is currently $3,313.15, with M Rayquaza-EX #98 as the most valuable card at $1,069.91. Prices update nightly from live market data.