Set market cap
235 cards tracked dailyWhat to target in Lost Thunder
The top 10 cards are 47% of the set’s $2,876.00 estimated singles cost — plan these first and the rest follows on a normal budget.
| # | Card | Number | Rarity | Market | PSA 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mimikyu-GX | #226 | Rare Rainbow | $249.40 | $1,972.00 |
| 2 |  Lugia-GX | #227 | Rare Rainbow | $240.16 | $1,750.00 |
| 3 |  Professor Elm's Lecture | #213 | Rare Ultra | $161.29 | $727.02 |
| 4 |  Lugia-GX | #207 | Rare Ultra | $111.81 | $1,500.00 |
| 5 |  Mimikyu-GX | #206 | Rare Ultra | $110.46 | $1,045.00 |
| 6 |  Tyranitar-GX | #223 | Rare Rainbow | $106.42 | $637.17 |
| 7 |  Shuckle-GX | #215 | Rare Rainbow | $104.07 | $452.49 |
| 8 |  Suicune-GX | #220 | Rare Rainbow | $101.60 | $777.00 |
| 9 |  Whitney | #214 | Rare Ultra | $89.87 | $299.95 |
| 10 |  Alolan Ninetales-GX | #225 | Rare Rainbow | $87.40 | $486.76 |
How Lost Thunder is built
Rarity breakdown
Price distribution
Most cards are bulk — the set’s value concentrates in a few chase cards.
Singles or sealed?
Sealed product comparison
Lost Thunder pull-rate estimates
Community-estimated era averages from large pack-opening aggregates — not official Pokémon data. “Specific card” is the expected packs for ONE particular card of that rarity.
| Rarity | Cards in set | Any pull | Specific card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare Holo GX | 13 | 1 in 9 | 1 in 117 |
| Rare Prism Star | 7 | 1 in 12 | 1 in 84 |
| Rare Ultra | 20 | 1 in 18 | 1 in 360 |
| Rare Secret | 9 | 1 in 100 | 1 in 900 |
| Rare Rainbow | 13 | 1 in 110 | 1 in 1,430 |
Lost Thunder promo cards
Black Star promos tied to Lost Thunder — from its ETBs, collection boxes and prerelease events. They live in the SM Black Star Promos set, so a true master-set run includes them separately.
Which Lost Thunder cards are worth grading?
Positive expected value after ~$25 fees at live PSA prices and this set's real gem rates.
Mimikyu-GX #226raw $249.40 → PSA 10 $1,972.00 7.9×EV +$506.77Lugia-GX #227raw $240.16 → PSA 10 $1,750.00 7.3×EV +$500.82Professor Elm's Lecture #213raw $161.29 → PSA 10 $727.02 4.5×EV +$149.35Lugia-GX #207raw $111.81 → PSA 10 $1,500.00 13.4×EV +$385.22Mimikyu-GX #206raw $110.46 → PSA 10 $1,045.00 9.5×EV +$252.52Tyranitar-GX #223raw $106.42 → PSA 10 $637.17 6×EV +$144.91Strong PSA 10 premium — the math works only on gem-worthy copies.
Fees eat most of the margin. Grade to preserve a pristine pull, not for profit.
Judge #209raw $66.73 → PSA 10 $141.89 2.1×EV −$15.85
Blacephalon-GX #219raw $34.30 → PSA 10 $92.00 2.7×EV +$21.45
Smeargle #157raw $23.17 → PSA 10 $67.10 2.9×
Slowpoke #54raw $21.94 → PSA 10 $49.34 2.2×
Dedenne #142raw $17.08 → PSA 10 $55.67 3.3×
Alolan Ninetales-GX #132raw $15.79 → PSA 10 $98.42 6.2×EV +$13.95Premiums and EV use tonight’s PSA prices and this set’s real gem rates — not projections.
What collectors say about Lost Thunder
Creators on Lost Thunder
Synthesized from widely-reported collector consensus — see a take that’s off? Use the report link on any card page.
Protect your Lost Thunder cards
This set has 8 cards worth $100+ — sleeve-and-toploader territory at minimum, and the chase cards deserve double-sleeving.
Every card worth more than bulk goes in a sleeve before anything else touches it.
Amazon →eBay →The archival-safe standard for cards you handle — double-sleeve chase cards with a perfect-fit inner.
Amazon →eBay →Affiliate links — purchases support CardPrice at no extra cost. Full guide: how to build & store a master set.
Sealed products
![Lost Thunder Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]](https://api.cardprice.com/images/products/276583.jpg?v=3)
![Lost Thunder 3 Pack Blister [Altaria]](https://api.cardprice.com/images/products/177904.jpg?v=3)
All cards 240
Most valuable cards in Lost Thunder
- Mimikyu-GX #226 — $249.40
- Lugia-GX #227 — $240.16
- Professor Elm's Lecture #213 — $161.29
- Lugia-GX #207 — $111.81
- Mimikyu-GX #206 — $110.46
- Tyranitar-GX #223 — $106.42
- Shuckle-GX #215 — $104.07
- Suicune-GX #220 — $101.60
- Whitney #214 — $89.87
- Alolan Ninetales-GX #225 — $87.40
About Lost Thunder
Lost Thunder is a Pokémon TCG expansion in the Sun & Moon series, released on 2018-11-02. The set contains 240 cards — 214 in the base set plus 26 secret rares. The combined market value of a complete set is currently $2,632.83, with Mimikyu-GX #226 as the most valuable card at $249.40. Prices update nightly from live market data.