What to target in Brilliant Stars

The top 10 cards are 73% of the set’s $839.00 estimated singles cost — plan these first and the rest follows on a normal budget.

The value math here is blunt: the majority of the set's total value lives in a handful of cards, and Charizard does the heavy lifting. The Charizard V full arts and the Charizard VSTAR Rainbow are the cards people actually chase and hold, and they carry the set on name recognition alone. Arceus V and Arceus VSTAR are the interesting case — they earned genuine affection because Arceus VSTAR was a format-defining engine card, so collectors who played during 2022 have a real attachment to it beyond the artwork.

Below the Charizards, the picture flattens fast. Pikachu V, Lumineon V, and the secret Ultra Ball and Galarian Moltres V are the mid-and-lower band names that fill out want lists, but none of them command the kind of premium the Charizards do. That concentration is worth understanding before you buy: a large share of the set's cost is tied up in a very short list, which means the "expensive" reputation is really about two or three cards, not a wall of costly chases across the board.

#	Card	Number	Rarity	Market	PSA 10
1	Charizard V	#154	Rare Ultra	$321.73	$844.19
2	Charizard VSTAR	#174	Rare Rainbow	$80.13	$222.21
3	Arceus V	#166	Rare Ultra	$63.91	$224.00
4	Charizard V	#153	Rare Ultra	$34.79	$222.01
5	Pikachu V	#157	Rare Ultra	$26.32	$255.00
6	Galarian Moltres V	#183	Rare Secret	$20.08	$100.00
7	Arceus VSTAR	#184	Rare Secret	$16.72	$94.27
8	Ultra Ball	#186	Rare Secret	$15.77	$51.64
9	Lumineon V	#156	Rare Ultra	$15.72	$84.71
10	Galarian Zapdos V	#182	Rare Secret	$14.31	$90.00

How Brilliant Stars is built

The smart way to complete Brilliant Stars

The smart approach is to split the set mentally into two projects: the bulk-and-holo main set, which is cheap and fast to assemble, and the short list of premium chases that will eat most of your budget. Knock out the easy 90% through a box or two plus targeted singles, then decide how deep you want to go on the Charizards and the secret rares.

Singles or sealed?

For Brilliant Stars, packs make the most sense if you enjoy the rip and want the base set plus a shot at Trainer Gallery hits — the set is fun to open and the bulk builds a collection fast. But if your goal is a specific card, especially any of the Charizards, singles win every time; the odds of pulling a specific chase from sealed are poor and the live math on this page almost always favors buying the card outright. The middle path most collectors take: open a box for the experience and the base, then fill the chase list with targeted singles.

Sealed product comparison

Brilliant Stars pull-rate estimates

Community-estimated era averages from large pack-opening aggregates — not official Pokémon data. “Specific card” is the expected packs for ONE particular card of that rarity.

Brilliant Stars promo cards

Black Star promos tied to Brilliant Stars — from its ETBs, collection boxes and prerelease events. They live in the SWSH Black Star Promos set, so a true master-set run includes them separately.

Arceus V#SWSH204 · Collection box promo$28.34Dragonite VSTAR#SWSH236 · Collection box promo$5.03

Which Brilliant Stars cards are worth grading?

Grading is worth it on a narrow band here: the Charizard V full arts, the Charizard VSTAR, Pikachu V, and Arceus V are the cards where a high grade meaningfully multiplies value and where the live EV supports paying the fee. These are the marquee names with enough of a price spread between raw and gem-mint that a 10 justifies the cost and the wait.

Everything below that tier is a hard no for grading on economics alone — the mid and low band cards don't have the ceiling to cover submission fees, so you'd be grading purely for personal display. As always with Sword & Shield full arts, centering and holo surface are the make-or-break subgrades, so only submit copies you've inspected closely under good light.

Tier 1 — grade theseWorth grading

Positive expected value after ~$25 fees at live PSA prices and this set's real gem rates.

Charizard V #154raw $321.73 → PSA 10 $844.19 2.6×EV +$226.10Charizard VSTAR #174raw $80.13 → PSA 10 $222.21 2.8×EV +$52.80Arceus V #166raw $63.91 → PSA 10 $224.00 3.5×EV +$64.72Charizard V #153raw $34.79 → PSA 10 $222.01 6.4×EV +$83.04Pikachu V #157raw $26.32 → PSA 10 $255.00 9.7×EV +$103.14Charizard VSTAR #18raw $12.82 → PSA 10 $113.75 8.9×EV +$28.81

Tier 2 — grade clean copiesClean copies only

Strong PSA 10 premium — the math works only on gem-worthy copies.

Galarian Moltres V #183raw $20.08 → PSA 10 $100.00 5×EV +$21.14

Tier 3 — personal collectionCollection only

Fees eat most of the margin. Grade to preserve a pristine pull, not for profit.

Arceus VSTAR #184raw $16.72 → PSA 10 $94.27 5.6×EV +$24.28Ultra Ball #186raw $15.77 → PSA 10 $51.64 3.3×EV −$8.05Lumineon V #156raw $15.72 → PSA 10 $84.71 5.4×EV +$11.21Galarian Zapdos V #182raw $14.31 → PSA 10 $90.00 6.3×EV +$24.31Arceus VSTAR #176raw $13.79 → PSA 10 $82.72 6×EV +$22.02Galarian Articuno V #181raw $13.50 → PSA 10 $90.00 6.7×EV +$21.21

Premiums and EV use tonight’s PSA prices and this set’s real gem rates — not projections.

What collectors say about Brilliant Stars

Creators on Brilliant Stars

▶Not Stopping Until I Open 100 Brilliant Stars PacksPokeRev▶TOP 20 BRILLIANT STARS CARDSTCG Grading▶Risking $1,000 For Brilliant Stars Charizard!PokeRev▶SECRET Umbreon VMAX Pulled Brilliant Stars #pokemoncards #pokemon #umbreonPokéFactory

Synthesized from widely-reported collector consensus — see a take that’s off? Use the report link on any card page.

Protect your Brilliant Stars cards

This set has 1 cards worth $100+ — sleeve-and-toploader territory at minimum, and the chase cards deserve double-sleeving.

Affiliate links — purchases support CardPrice at no extra cost. Full guide: how to build & store a master set.

Where Brilliant Stars goes from here

Brilliant Stars was printed heavily and opened widely, so raw supply of most cards is deep and likely to stay that way — this is not a scarcity story. What sustains long-term interest is the Charizard factor plus the historical significance of being the first VSTAR set, both of which give the marquee cards durable demand independent of format legality. The Arceus VSTAR carries the added tailwind of being a card players remember fondly from its competitive prime.

The honest read: the base and mid-tier cards are unlikely to appreciate meaningfully given the print volume, so buy those for the joy of the set, not as a bet. The top-tier Charizards and high-grade slabs are where any real long-term strength lives, and even there the ceiling is capped somewhat by how many copies exist. Collect the set because it's a genuinely good one to own — not on a promise of returns.

Not financial advice — live prices and trends are above, collect what you love.

Related Sword & Shield sets

Brilliant Stars Trainer Gallery2022 · 30 cardsAstral Radiance Trainer Gallery2022 · 30 cardsAstral Radiance2022 · 216 cardsFusion Strike2021 · 284 cards

Brilliant Stars — frequently asked questions